Current BTC State

BTC realtime microstructure engine • V3.3 Contrarian: UP_OI_UP bearish fade • Last update: 2026-06-05 16:12:46
v3_3_up_oi_up_bearish_fade

Current BTC State

v3_3_up_oi_up_bearish_fade
Live Verdict
CHOP_NO_EDGE
NO EDGE
fast downward price velocity | price down with OI expansion = new shorts / continuation | negative premium | large volume confirms bearish state
Mark Price 60,667.00
Confidence 20.0%
Bull Score 0
Bear Score 7
Bucket DOWN_OI_UP

Realtime Microstructure

This panel shows the latest 60-second pressure snapshot.
Price 60s -0.1777%
OI 60s +0.2152%
Premium -0.00044
Funding -0.000002
State CHOP_NO_EDGE Current classifier output
BTC Mark 60,667.00 Hyperliquid mark price
Confidence 20.0% High only on directional states
Bull 5m WR Evaluated bullish 5m winrate
Bear 5m WR Evaluated bearish 5m winrate
Model Health WARMING UP 5m done: 0 • need 20+
Signals 10 Total evaluated directional signals
Open Interest 33032.70 BTC OI
Volume Delta 60s 12504921.72 Change in day notional volume
Rows 60 Clean v2 rows collected

Evaluator Report

1m / 3m / 5m outcome tracking
Bullish Model 5m
Bearish Model 5m
Model HealthWARMING UP
BTC REALTIME ENGINE REPORT
Model version: v3_3_up_oi_up_bearish_fade
========================================
Total evaluated signals: 10

BULLISH
--------------------
signals: 0
1m: pending
3m: pending
5m: pending

BEARISH
--------------------
signals: 10
1m: winrate=60.0% wins=6 losses=4 avg_move=-0.0537%
3m: winrate=100.0% wins=10 losses=0 avg_move=-0.6928%
5m: pending

BUCKET BREAKDOWN
========================================
UP_OI_UP
--------------------
signals: 10
1m: winrate=60.0% wins=6 losses=4 avg_move=-0.0537%
3m: winrate=100.0% wins=10 losses=0 avg_move=-0.6928%
5m: pending


Notes:
Winrates show % of winning signals.
avg_move is average signed return of ALL signals.

Bucket Performance v3.1

UP/DOWN + OI UP/DOWN edge map
BucketSignals1m WR3m WR5m WRMeaning
UP_OI_UPPrice ↑ / OI ↑ 10 60.0%6W/4L • avg -0.0537% 100.0%10W/0L • avg -0.6928% pending Fresh longs / trend continuation
UP_OI_DOWNPrice ↑ / OI ↓ 0 Short covering / squeeze behavior
DOWN_OI_UPPrice ↓ / OI ↑ 0 Fresh shorts / bearish continuation
DOWN_OI_DOWNPrice ↓ / OI ↓ 0 Long liquidation / flush behavior
FLATFlat / mixed 0 No clear microstructure pressure

Latest Realtime Rows

last 5 states
TimeMarkStateBucketConfBullBearPrice 60sOI 60sReasons
2026-06-05T14:12:43.965026+00:00 60,667.00 CHOP_NO_EDGE DOWN_OI_UP 20.0% 0 7 -0.1777% +0.2152% fast downward price velocity | price down with OI expansion = new sh...
2026-06-05T14:12:40.140448+00:00 60,652.00 CHOP_NO_EDGE DOWN_OI_UP 20.0% 0 7 -0.2451% +0.2198% fast downward price velocity | price down with OI expansion = new sh...
2026-06-05T14:12:36.496604+00:00 60,635.00 CHOP_NO_EDGE DOWN_OI_UP 20.0% 0 7 -0.2993% +0.2111% fast downward price velocity | price down with OI expansion = new sh...
2026-06-05T14:12:32.347456+00:00 60,629.00 CHOP_NO_EDGE DOWN_OI_UP 20.0% 0 7 -0.3288% +0.2126% fast downward price velocity | price down with OI expansion = new sh...
2026-06-05T14:12:27.432768+00:00 60,645.00 CHOP_NO_EDGE DOWN_OI_UP 20.0% 0 7 -0.3876% +0.2114% fast downward price velocity | price down with OI expansion = new sh...

Latest Evaluated Signals

last 5 directional signals
TimeStateBucketEntryConf1m3m5mReasons
2026-06-05 14:09:40.094701+00:00 BEARISH UP_OI_UP 61,181.00 83.6% WIN-0.3122% WIN-0.8647% PENDINGnan% fast upward price velocity | price up with OI expansion = new longs ...
2026-06-05 14:09:36.359894+00:00 BEARISH UP_OI_UP 61,166.00 95.0% WIN-0.2877% WIN-0.8681% PENDINGnan% fast upward price velocity | price up with OI expansion = new longs ...
2026-06-05 14:09:31.889698+00:00 BEARISH UP_OI_UP 61,163.00 83.6% WIN-0.2256% WIN-0.8731% PENDINGnan% fast upward price velocity | price up with OI expansion = new longs ...
2026-06-05 14:09:23.176782+00:00 BEARISH UP_OI_UP 61,119.00 83.6% WIN-0.1374% WIN-0.7526% PENDINGnan% fast upward price velocity | price up with OI expansion = new longs ...
2026-06-05 14:09:19.371824+00:00 BEARISH UP_OI_UP 61,081.00 95.0% WIN-0.0622% WIN-0.6778% PENDINGnan% fast upward price velocity | price up with OI expansion = new longs ...